Saturday, July 25, 2026

Real Credit for the Success of the Cockroach protests Should Go to Arvind Kejriwal and Not Abhijit Dipke

 

Real Credit for the Success of the Cockroach protests Should Go to Arvind Kejriwal and Not Abhijit Dipke

By S.N. Verma

The recent success of the Cockroach Janata Party (CJP) agitation has triggered widespread political debate. While many have projected Abhijit Dipke as the face of the movement, I believe the real credit—if one considers the agitation to have been politically successful—belongs not to Abhijit Dipke but to Arvind Kejriwal.

I have remained one of the strongest critics of Arvind Kejriwal over the years. Yet, political analysis demands objectivity. Whether one likes him or not, one cannot ignore what appears to be a well-planned political strategy. In my assessment, the CJP agitation succeeded far beyond the expectations of most observers, including myself, and according to me the principal strategist behind that success was Arvind Kejriwal.



According to my interpretation, the idea of projecting the Cockroach Janata Party did not arise out of preference but out of political necessity. Kejriwal, it may be argued, realised that both he and the Aam Aadmi Party had suffered a significant erosion of public credibility. Any nationwide agitation launched directly under the AAP banner or his own leadership would have struggled to generate broad public support. Consequently, the movement was allegedly presented through a different platform and different public faces.

The next step, in this view, was the careful selection of an issue capable of generating nationwide emotional resonance. Repeated allegations of examination paper leaks, particularly concerning NEET, had already created widespread frustration among students and their families. The issue naturally attracted public sympathy and media attention.

It may be noted that other examination-related issues also existed, yet NEET was strategically chosen because it affected lakhs of students across India and had the potential to inflict maximum political damage on the Union Government. Combined with dissatisfaction among certain sections of society  over recent UGC amendments 2026, the controversy offered an opportunity to target education minister Dharmendra Pradhan in order to inflict maximum damage to Modi Govt.

Thereafter, according to my interpretation, individuals such as Abhijit Dipke emerged as the visible faces of the agitation, while the actual political direction remained elsewhere. Public leadership and strategic leadership, it is argued, were deliberately separated.

Supporters of my view further contend that resources, organisational backing, and campaign management were mobilised from various groups opposed to the Modi Government. Simultaneously, efforts were allegedly made to associate respected public personalities with the movement in order to enhance its credibility.

In this context, Sonam Wangchuk is viewed by some observers as someone who provided moral legitimacy to the movement in a manner somewhat comparable to the role Anna Hazare played during the anti-corruption movement. Whether this comparison is justified is open to debate, but there is little doubt that his presence attracted considerable public attention.

The movement also appeared to receive support from sections of Left-leaning organisations, several civil society groups, several social media influencers and several public personalities. Incidentally most of them happen to be big Modi haters for their own different reasons. As the protests expanded, other opposition parties also began expressing solidarity.

Interestingly, the Congress initially maintained visible distance from the agitation. One possible explanation is that its leadership perceived the movement as being politically advantageous to Arvind Kejriwal. However, once the protests gathered nationwide momentum, attempts were reportedly made to associate with the agitation indirectly, though by then the movement had already acquired its own independent identity.

As events unfolded and the agitation appeared to achieve significant political traction, Kejriwal and senior AAP leaders became increasingly visible. To many political observers, this reinforced the impression that the movement had been strategically guided from behind the scenes.

Ultimately, when the Union Government accepted what was seen as one of the principal demands of the protesters by seeking the resignation of the Education Minister, the agitation was widely viewed as a political success. Whether that governmental decision was influenced by the protests or by other considerations is a matter of political interpretation. Nevertheless, the perception of victory has significantly strengthened the movement.

If this assessment is correct, then among contemporary Indian politicians, Arvind Kejriwal demonstrated once again his ability to identify politically sensitive issues, mobilise public sentiment, and convert public dissatisfaction into organised political campaigns.

From the Government's perspective, however, this may not be the end of the story. If the underlying political strategy is indeed to keep identifying issues that evoke strong public emotions and continuously mobilise protests around them, then similar agitations may emerge on other subjects in the future.

It is therefore possible that new issues affecting large sections of the public may become the next focus of political mobilisation. In my opinion, next item in agenda of these cockroaches/Kejriwal could be Ethanol and next minister under attack could be Nitin Gadkari. As I understand, policies relating to ethanol could become future flashpoints, potentially placing ministers such as Nitin Gadkari under increased political attack by Cockroaches. Whether such predictions prove accurate remains to be seen.

Political movements often have visible leaders and invisible strategists. In the case of the Cockroach Janata Party agitation, Abhijit Dipke may have become the public face of the protests, but if the above political reading is accepted, the principal architect behind its strategy, planning and execution was Arvind Kejriwal.


Friday, July 24, 2026

Protests Shall Continue: What You Can't Achieve Directly, You Try to Achieve Indirectly


    

Protests Shall Continue: What You Can't Achieve Directly, You Try to Achieve Indirectly




By S.N. Verma

The controversy surrounding the alleged NEET paper leak has triggered nationwide protests and political mobilisation. A pertinent question, however, is whether these protests will end once the immediate grievances are addressed.

In my opinion, the answer is no.

The reason is that the movement, in its present form, has evolved beyond the original issue. Even if every demand relating to the alleged paper leak were accepted, another issue would soon emerge as the next rallying point. If not NEET, it could be another policy decision, another administrative controversy, or another public issue capable of generating widespread public sentiment. The objective, in my view, is no longer confined to resolving a particular grievance but to sustaining continuous political pressure on the Government.

This reflects an old political strategy: when an objective cannot be achieved directly, attempts are made to achieve it indirectly.

If a government cannot be removed through the electoral process because it continues to enjoy public support, the alternative strategy may be to create an atmosphere of persistent unrest, dissatisfaction and political instability. Continuous protests, frequent agitations and sustained public campaigns can weaken public confidence in the Government even where the original issue has been addressed.

From this perspective, NEET is merely one episode in a larger political contest.

Tomorrow, the issue may shift elsewhere. It could be a fuel policy, ethanol blending, agricultural reforms, infrastructure projects or any other matter capable of influencing public opinion. Complex policy issues are often difficult for the general public to examine in detail. Consequently, they may become effective political tools for mobilising public sentiment. The focus may then shift from one minister to another, accompanied by fresh demands for resignations or policy reversals.

The pattern, therefore, is likely to continue.

This does not imply that every protest is illegitimate. In a democracy, peaceful protest is a constitutional right and often serves an important public purpose. Genuine grievances deserve to be heard and remedied. However, it is equally important to distinguish between issue-based protests intended to secure specific reforms and political campaigns that, in the my opinion, seek to maintain perpetual confrontation regardless of whether the original grievance has been resolved.

In my assessment, several political actors and ideological groups that oppose Prime Minister Narendra Modi—including opposition parties, regional political formations, Left groups and other critics of the Government—share a common political objective of defeating the present Government. Their methods and priorities may differ, but they may find common cause on issues that generate public mobilisation. In my opinion,  external interests too  prefer a less assertive Indian leadership and hence they too are  sponsoring, aiding and abetting such protests so that Modi is thrown out.

The larger political calculation, in my opinion, is straightforward. If electoral arithmetic does not favour a change in government, continuous public agitation may be viewed as a means of creating an environment of instability and weakening the Government's political standing before the electorate.

Whether this assessment ultimately proves correct will be judged by events over time. However, if one observes a recurring pattern of successive agitations where the issue changes but the mobilisation continues, it may indicate that the objective extends beyond the immediate grievance.

The central question, therefore, is not whether one supports or opposes a particular protest. Rather, it is whether the protest is genuinely directed at resolving a public issue or whether the issue has become a vehicle for pursuing a broader political objective.

In my opinion, that distinction is crucial. The future will reveal whether protests conclude when their stated demands are met, or whether they simply move from one issue to another in pursuit of a larger political goal.

As the saying goes, what cannot be achieved directly is often attempted indirectly.